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Model Selection Criteria

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Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)

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The AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model. The less information lost, the higher the quality of the model. It is important because it helps to choose a model that best explains the data with a minimal number of parameters.

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AUC-ROC

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The Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) is a performance measurement for classification problems at various threshold settings. It is important because it tells how much a model is capable of distinguishing between classes.

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Cross-Validation

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Cross-validation is a technique to evaluate the predictive performance of a statistical model. It is important because it gives insight into how the model will generalize to an independent dataset.

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Accuracy

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Accuracy measures the proportion of correct predictions made by the model. It is important as a fundamental metric to evaluate a model's performance, especially on balanced datasets.

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F1 Score

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The F1 Score is the harmonic mean of precision and recall. It is important because it provides a balance between the precision and recall metrics, which is useful when you have an uneven class distribution.

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Precision and Recall

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Precision measures the fraction of relevant instances among the retrieved instances, while recall measures the fraction of relevant instances that were retrieved. Both are important for scenarios where false positives and false negatives have different costs.

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Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC)

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The BIC is similar to the AIC but includes a penalty term for the number of parameters in the model. It is important because it provides a more stringent test of model quality, favoring simpler models when comparing models with similar likelihoods.

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Mean Squared Error (MSE)

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MSE measures the average of the squares of the errors—that is, the average squared difference between the estimated values and the actual value. It is important because it provides a clear measure of how well the model predicts the target variable, heavily penalizing large errors.

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