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Martingales in Measure Theory

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Filtration

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A filtration {Fn}n0\{\mathcal{F}_n\}_{n \geq 0} is an increasing sequence of σ\sigma-algebras, meaning that FnFn+1\mathcal{F}_n \subseteq \mathcal{F}_{n+1} for all nn.

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Stopping Times

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A stopping time with respect to a filtration {Fn}\{\mathcal{F}_n\} is a random variable τ\tau such that for each nn, the event {τ=n}\{\tau = n\} is Fn\mathcal{F}_n-measurable.

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Supermartingale

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A sequence {Xn}\{X_n\} is a supermartingale if E[Xn]<E[|X_n|] < \infty, XnX_n is Fn\mathcal{F}_n-measurable, and E[Xn+1Fn]XnE[X_{n+1} | \mathcal{F}_n] \leq X_n a.s.

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Uniform Integrability

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A family of random variables {Xn}\{X_n\} is uniformly integrable if for every ϵ>0\epsilon > 0 there exists a K>0K > 0 such that E[Xn1{Xn>K}]<ϵE[|X_n| \mathbf{1}_{\{|X_n| > K\}}] < \epsilon for all nn.

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Optional Stopping Theorem

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Under certain conditions, if {Xn}\{X_n\} is a martingale and τ\tau is a bounded stopping time, then E[Xτ]=E[X0]E[X_{\tau}] = E[X_0].

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Martingale Transform

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Given a martingale {Xn}\{X_n\} and a predictable sequence {Hn}\{H_n\}, the martingale transform {Yn}\{Y_n\} is defined by Yn=i=0nHi(Xi+1Xi)Y_n = \sum_{i=0}^{n} H_i \cdot (X_{i+1} - X_i), where YnY_n is also a martingale under certain conditions.

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Martingale Convergence in LpL^p

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A martingale {Xn}\{X_n\} converges in LpL^p (for 1<p<1 < p < \infty) to a random variable XX if XnXp0||X_n - X||_p \to 0 as nn \to \infty, often requiring supnE[Xnp]<\sup_n E[|X_n|^p] < \infty.

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Submartingale

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A sequence {Xn}\{X_n\} is a submartingale if E[Xn]<E[|X_n|] < \infty, XnX_n is Fn\mathcal{F}_n-measurable, and E[Xn+1Fn]XnE[X_{n+1} | \mathcal{F}_n] \geq X_n a.s.

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Doob's Martingale Convergence Theorem

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If {Xn}\{X_n\} is a martingale (or a sub/supermartingale), then XnX_n converges almost surely to some random variable XX as nn \to \infty, provided that the martingale is uniformly integrable.

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Martingale Definition

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A sequence of random variables {Xn}n0\{X_n\}_{n \geq 0} is a martingale with respect to a filtration {Fn}\{\mathcal{F}_n\} if for all nn, E[Xn]<E[|X_n|] < \infty, XnX_n is Fn\mathcal{F}_n-measurable, and E[Xn+1Fn]=XnE[X_{n+1} | \mathcal{F}_n] = X_n a.s.

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