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Weather Forecasting Methods
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Flashcards
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Expert Judgment
Combines the forecaster's experience and understanding of weather systems with available data and models.
Analog Technique
Based on finding a past weather scenario that closely resembles current conditions, then predicting the future accordingly.
Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Uses mathematical models of the atmosphere and oceans to predict the weather based on current weather conditions.
Statistical Methods
Involves using historical data to predict future conditions based on recognized patterns.
Ensemble Forecasting
Uses multiple NWP runs with slightly varied initial conditions to predict a range of possible future weather scenarios.
Persistence Forecasting
Assumes that the future weather condition will be the same as the current condition.
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