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Credit Risk Fundamentals

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Credit Risk

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Credit risk refers to the possibility of loss resulting from a borrower's failure to repay a loan or meet contractual obligations. It's a key concern for financial institutions that lend money.

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Default Risk

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Default risk is the chance that a borrower will be unable to make the required payments on their debt obligations. It's a specific type of credit risk.

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Credit Spread

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The credit spread is the difference in yield between two bonds of similar maturity but different credit quality. Wider spreads indicate higher credit risk.

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Credit Scoring

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Credit scoring is a statistical analysis performed by lenders to determine the creditworthiness of a borrower and the likelihood of default.

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Exposure at Default (EAD)

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Exposure at Default represents the total value a bank is exposed to when a borrower defaults. It's a critical component in calculating credit risk.

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Loss Given Default (LGD)

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Loss Given Default measures the portion of an exposure that is not recovered following a default, expressed as a percentage of the exposure.

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Probability of Default (PD)

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Probability of Default is the likelihood that a borrower will default on their debt obligations over a certain period, often used in risk models.

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Counterparty Risk

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Counterparty risk is the possibility that the other party in an agreement will default or fail to live up to its contractual obligation, affecting derivatives and other financial transactions.

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Credit Derivatives

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Credit derivatives are financial instruments used to transfer credit risk between parties. Examples include credit default swaps and collateralized debt obligations.

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Credit Rating

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A credit rating is an assessment of a borrower's creditworthiness based on their credit history and other factors. Ratings are provided by agencies like Moody's, S&P, and Fitch.

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Credit Limit

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A credit limit is the maximum amount of credit that a lender will extend to a borrower. It helps manage credit risk by setting a boundary on exposure.

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Concentration Risk

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Concentration risk arises from a lack of diversification in an investment portfolio or loan book, leading to increased exposure to losses from a single counterparty or sector.

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Credit Analysis

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Credit analysis involves evaluating a potential borrower's credit risk by examining financial statements, credit scores, and other qualitative and quantitative factors.

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Secured Loan

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A secured loan is backed by collateral, thereby reducing the lender's credit risk since there is an asset that can be liquidated in case of a borrower's default.

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Unsecured Loan

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An unsecured loan does not have collateral backing and represents a higher credit risk for the lender since there is no asset to recover in case of default.

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Covenant

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A covenant is a clause in a lending agreement that requires the borrower to meet certain conditions or prohibits certain actions, designed to protect the lender's interests.

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Debt-to-Income Ratio

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The debt-to-income ratio (DTI) compares a borrower's gross monthly debt payments to their gross monthly income, used by lenders to assess borrowing capacity and credit risk.

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Recovery Rate

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The recovery rate is the percentage of a loan's value or investment that is recouped if the borrower defaults. It is inversely related to Loss Given Default (LGD).

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Sovereign Risk

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Sovereign risk pertains to the risk of a country defaulting on its financial obligations. It affects the credit risk of securities issued by the government.

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Risk Premium

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A risk premium is the extra yield over a risk-free rate that investors require to compensate them for the risk of default associated with a particular investment.

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Underwriting

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Underwriting is the process by which lenders and insurers evaluate the risks of lending to or insuring an entity and decide on the terms of the loan or insurance.

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Intercreditor Agreement

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An intercreditor agreement is a contract between multiple creditors that determines the priority of their claims and the sharing of collateral in case of a borrower's default.

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Subprime Borrower

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A subprime borrower is an individual or organization with a poor credit history or low creditworthiness, often charged higher interest rates due to the increased credit risk.

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Altman Z-score

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The Altman Z-score is a formula used to predict the likelihood of a business's bankruptcy, calculated by combining profitability, leverage, liquidity, solvency, and activity ratios.

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Five Cs of Credit

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The Five Cs of Credit is a system used by lenders to gauge the creditworthiness of potential borrowers, consisting of character, capacity, capital, collateral, and conditions.

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